Australia’s referendum on an Indigenous Voice to Parliament looks like it could end in failure after the latest opinion polls showed a further decline in support for the measure just a month before the vote.
The so-called Voice would give Indigenous Australians—whose ancestors have lived on the continent for about 60,000 years—a constitutionally enshrined right to be consulted on laws that affect their communities. They would also be recognized in the constitution for the first time.
But a survey published by the Sydney Morning Herald newspaper on Monday showed national support dropping to 43 percent, from 46 percent in August.
The “No” vote was strongest in Queensland and Western Australia with 61 percent saying they would reject the referendum, but the survey showed voters in New South Wales and Victoria—Australia’s most populous states—also moving against it. Tasmania was the only state with a majority in favor.
Support has been declining for the past five months.
Making up only about 3 percent of the overall population, Indigenous Australians continue to experience severe inequalities, including lower life expectancy and, in some areas, endemic poverty. Indigenous people are also more likely to be jailed.
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